East of I-95 playoff preview: 41 games, picks and key players
By Trey Scott | The Trey Scott Sports Show | Presented by TieBreakers Sports Bar & Grill
Forty-one first-round playoff games involving programs east of Interstate 95 and along the I-95 corridor are on the board Thursday and Friday. Some teams are chasing an opening-round upset. Others want to prove their regular-season record does not tell the whole story.
From Greene Central’s explosive rushing attack to Princeton’s Teo McPhatter, the East features run-heavy teams, pass-first contenders and rematches that could turn on a single possession. The biggest question near Kinston: Can the Vikings ride their passing game to a road win? I see a tight one, with Northwood surviving, 31–28.
Below are my scouting comparisons, common-opponent results, key players and score predictions. Seeds are regional bracket seeds. Percentages reflect each team’s share of reported offensive yards gained rushing and passing—not its percentage of play calls. Some player submissions are incomplete, so asterisked figures and availability notes should be read accordingly. All predictions are pregame projections.
Jump to: Featured Neuse News Sports games | Additional Thursday games | Friday: 1A–4A | Friday: 5A–8A and NCISAA
Featured Neuse News Sports matchups
1. 3A: No. 17 Greene Central (6-4) AT No. 16 Wake Prep (6-4)
| Category | No. 17 Greene Central | No. 16 Wake Prep |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 68% / 32% | 49% / 51% |
| Best win | Kinston, 49–24 | Louisburg, 22–21 |
| Best loss | Tarboro, 42–28 | Bunn, 17–14 |
| Worst loss | Farmville Central, 60–55. Allowed 60 points despite scoring 55. | Princeton, 64–0. Shut out in an unexpected blowout. |
| Key players | Donovan Ingram (RB) — 146.8 rushing ypg; Kaz Farrior (DB/WR) — 10.9 tackles/game. | Nate Burrell (RB) — 129.1 rushing ypg; KJ Brown (QB) — 12 passing TDs. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Greene Central has the more explosive rushing offense, but its defense remains a concern after the Farmville Central shootout. Wake Prep is more balanced, yet the 64–0 Princeton loss raises questions about its ability to withstand a powerful rushing attack.
Prediction: Greene Central 42, Wake Prep 21
2. 3A: No. 19 Pender (4-6) AT No. 14 Princeton (5-5)
| Category | No. 19 Pender | No. 14 Princeton |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 87% / 13% | 90% / 10% |
| Best win | South Lenoir, 60–14 | Wake Prep, 64–0 |
| Best loss | Southwest Onslow, 30–28 | East Duplin, 40–34 |
| Worst loss | Southwest Onslow, 30–28. Let a winnable conference game slip away. | Wallace-Rose Hill, 42–7. Its productive ground game was held to seven points. |
| Key players | Zeke Williams (RB/DB) — 75.0 rushing ypg; Austin Deal (QB/DB) — 68.5 rushing ypg. | Teo McPhatter (RB/QB) — 2,535 rushing yards, 35 rushing TDs; Taylor Parrish (RB) — 85.9 rushing ypg. |
Common opponents: Wallace-Rose Hill: Pender lost 28–6; Princeton lost 42–7. East Duplin: Pender lost 34–6; Princeton lost 40–34.
Breakdown: Both teams are run-heavy, but Princeton produces approximately 383 rushing yards per game. McPhatter is coming off a 405-yard, five-touchdown performance against Rosewood, and Princeton’s close loss to East Duplin is an important comparison.
Prediction: Princeton 48, Pender 28
3. 3A: No. 18 Kinston (5-5) AT No. 15 Northwood (5-5)
| Category | No. 18 Kinston | No. 15 Northwood |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 41% / 59% | 54% / 46% |
| Best win | Ayden-Grifton, 27–21 | Southwestern Randolph, 38–35 |
| Best loss | Farmville Central, 31–28 | West Carteret, 16–13 |
| Worst loss | South Central, 30–8. Generated just eight points against a four-win team. | Seaforth, 22–15. Couldn’t finish a close, winnable game. |
| Key players | Michael Eaton (QB) — 18 passing TDs; Pap Brown (WR/CB) — 70.0 receiving ypg. | Finn Sullivan (QB) — five reported passing TDs; Raje Torres (WR/DB) — 77.3 receiving ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Both average around 330 yards of offense per game. Kinston’s passing attack gives the Vikings explosive potential, but Northwood’s more balanced profile and home-field advantage could make the difference. Expect a one-possession finish.
Prediction: Northwood 31, Kinston 28
4. 4A: No. 17 Eastern Wayne (5-4) AT No. 16 Washington (3-7)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 17 Eastern Wayne | No. 16 Washington |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 68% / 32% | 62% / 38% |
| Best win | C.B. Aycock, 14–0 | Eastern Wayne, 20–0 |
| Best loss | North Pitt, 28–7 | Farmville Central, 32–31 |
| Worst loss | Washington, 20–0. Shut out by its first-round opponent. | North Pitt, 28–14. Lost by two scores in the regular-season finale. |
| Key players | Brandon Lark Jr. (RB/ATH) — 75.3 rushing ypg; Auree Best (QB) — 11 passing TDs. | Shamar Blo (QB/DB) — seven rushing and six passing TDs in available reports; Jahcere Collins (RB/LB) — 55 rushing ypg. |
Common opponents: Head-to-head: Washington won 20–0 on Oct. 23. North Johnston: EW won 27–0, Washington won 16–6. North Lenoir: EW won 46–0, Washington won 47–0. Southwest Edgecombe: EW lost 41–6, Washington lost 22–20. West Craven: EW lost 35–6, Washington lost 36–8. Both lost to North Pitt.
Breakdown: Eastern Wayne has the better record, but Washington already shut out the Warriors and played Southwest Edgecombe much closer. Eastern Wayne’s offense must rebound from a difficult final month to reverse the first meeting.
Prediction: Washington 21, Eastern Wayne 14
5. 2A: No. 17 Pamlico County (3-7) AT No. 16 Rosewood (3-7)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 17 Pamlico County | No. 16 Rosewood |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 82% / 18% | 63% / 37% |
| Best win | Lejeune, 36–28 (OT) | Hobbton, 38–30 |
| Best loss | Camden County, 55–32 | North Duplin, 13–12 |
| Worst loss | East Carteret, 47–8. Allowed 47 to a four-win opponent. | C.B. Aycock, 20–0. Shut out by a two-win team. |
| Key players | Jacob Bennett (RB/LB) — 102 rushing ypg; Izir Benjamin (WR/DB) — 10 total TDs in reported stats. | Aldinio Previl (RB/OLB) — 136.2 rushing ypg in available reporting; Connor Smith (QB) — 10 passing TDs. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Rosewood has more offensive balance behind Smith’s passing and its running game. Pamlico will try to shorten the game with Bennett, making early-down defense and turnovers critical.
Prediction: Rosewood 28, Pamlico County 20
6. 3A: No. 22 South Lenoir (3-7) AT No. 11 Providence Grove (6-4)
| Category | No. 22 South Lenoir | No. 11 Providence Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 80% / 20% | 54% / 46% |
| Best win | Lejeune, 20–14 | Randleman, 27–19 |
| Best loss | Heide Trask, 32–26 | Eastern Randolph, 43–31 |
| Worst loss | Heide Trask, 32–26. Lost to another two-win program. | West Davidson, 23–0. Shut out in a conference game. |
| Key players | Christian Wooten (QB/DB) — 82.4 rushing ypg, 10 rushing TDs; Jaylen Stallworth (WR/DB) — four INTs. | Nick Straughn (RB/DL) — 86.4 rushing ypg; Conner Haithcock (WR/DB) — 8.7 tackles/game. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: South Lenoir enters with seven consecutive losses and has struggled to slow opposing offenses. Providence Grove has the stronger record and better balance, while the Blue Devils need Wooten to keep the game manageable.
Prediction: Providence Grove 34, South Lenoir 14
7. 5A: No. 24 C.B. Aycock (2-8) AT No. 9 Rocky Mount (6-4)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 24 C.B. Aycock | No. 9 Rocky Mount |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 58% / 42% | 68% / 32% |
| Best win | Rosewood, 20–0 | Southern Nash, 28–14 |
| Best loss | Southern Nash, 28–14 | Tarboro, 38–34 |
| Worst loss | Southern Wayne, 34–14. Lost by 20 to a four-win rival. | Northern Nash, 45–0. Shut out in its regular-season finale. |
| Key players | Christian Atkinson (RB/LB) — 51 rushing ypg in recent reporting; Devin Lewis (WR/DB) — four INTs. | Braylen Fox (RB/DB) — 64.3 rushing ypg; Jason Battle (QB) — 11 passing TDs. |
Common opponents: Head-to-head: Rocky Mount won 44–7 on Oct. 9. Southern Nash: Aycock lost 28–14, Rocky Mount won 28–14. Southern Wayne: Aycock lost 34–14, Rocky Mount won 42–0. Both also played Hunt, Fike and Northern Nash.
Breakdown: Rocky Mount averages about 100 more offensive yards per game, already won the first meeting handily and owns much stronger results against shared opponents.
Prediction: Rocky Mount 35, C.B. Aycock 10
8. NCISAA Division II: No. 6 Wayne Christian (7-3) AT No. 3 Trinity Christian (6-4)
| Category | No. 6 Wayne Christian | No. 3 Trinity Christian |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 80% / 20% | 51% / 49% |
| Best win | Ravenscroft, 32–31 | Harrells Christian, 47–15 |
| Best loss | Trinity Christian, 27–16 | North Raleigh Christian, 17–14 (2OT) |
| Worst loss | Harrells Christian, 35–7. Managed just seven against a shared opponent. | High Point Christian, 36–8. Fell behind 30–0 through three quarters. |
| Key players | Jamari Hill (RB/LB) — 138 rushing ypg; Urban Johnson (WR/CB) — 17 total TDs and five INTs. | Bralynn Howard (QB) — eight reported passing TDs; Baganley Donzo (DL) — 12 sacks. |
Common opponents: Head-to-head: Trinity won 27–16 on Oct. 2. Harrells: Wayne lost 35–7, Trinity won 47–15. Ravenscroft: Wayne won 32–31, Trinity won 48–0. North Raleigh Christian: Wayne lost 41–21, Trinity lost 17–14 (2OT).
Breakdown: Wayne Christian can control the clock with Hill, but Trinity has outperformed the Eagles against all three shared opponents. Trinity’s defensive front could force Wayne into uncomfortable passing situations.
Prediction: Trinity Christian 31, Wayne Christian 20
Additional Thursday matchups
9. NCISAA 8-man: No. 6 Wake Christian (2-8) AT No. 3 John Paul II (8-2)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 6 Wake Christian | No. 3 John Paul II |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 55% / 45% | 80% / 20% |
| Best win | Wayne Prep, 58–26 | Lawrence Academy, 60–27 |
| Best loss | Arendell Parrott, 43–42 | Cary Christian, 34–7 |
| Worst loss | John Paul II, 44–6. Struggled on both sides in the first meeting. | Cary Christian, 34–7. Managed seven points in a lopsided defeat. |
| Key players | Brady Stiltner (QB/DB) — 165.8 passing ypg; Patrick Ellis (WR/DB) — 105.3 receiving ypg. | Michah Hardy (RB/LB) — 107.6 rushing ypg; Maddox Shelby (QB/LB) — 61.7 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: Head-to-head: John Paul II won 44–6 on Sept. 18. St. David’s: Wake lost twice, John Paul II won 48–12. Lawrence Academy: Wake lost 56–52, John Paul II won 60–27. Arendell Parrott: Wake lost 43–42, John Paul II won 41–0.
Breakdown: Wake Christian can score through the air, but John Paul II’s run game and superior results against shared opponents point toward another comfortable victory.
Prediction: John Paul II 48, Wake Christian 22
10. NCISAA Division II: No. 5 SouthLake Christian (5-5) AT No. 4 Harrells Christian (5-5)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 5 SouthLake Christian | No. 4 Harrells Christian |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 23% / 77% | 86% / 14% |
| Best win | Covenant Day, 20–13 | North Raleigh Christian, 44–42 (OT) |
| Best loss | Carson, 41–36 | Christ School, 42–41 |
| Worst loss | High Point Christian, 35–7. The passing offense sputtered. | Trinity Christian, 47–15. Allowed 47 points in its finale. |
| Key players | Cameron Gandy (QB) — 256.2 passing ypg; Carter Eberhart (WR) — 90.3 receiving ypg. | Jeremiah Davis (HB/CB) — about 80 rushing ypg; Demetrius Jones (FB/DB) — 89.6 total offensive ypg. |
Common opponents: Ravenscroft: SouthLake won 29–22, Harrells won 35–6. High Point Christian: SouthLake lost 35–7, Harrells lost 28–6. Covenant Day: SouthLake won 20–13, Harrells won 33–7.
Breakdown: A classic contrast: SouthLake throws frequently while Harrells pounds the run. Harrells owns better margins against every shared opponent, though Gandy could make this a shootout.
Prediction: Harrells Christian 31, SouthLake Christian 28
11. 5A: No. 18 Rockingham County (4-6) AT No. 15 Southern Nash (4-6)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 18 Rockingham County | No. 15 Southern Nash |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 51% / 49% | 89% / 11% |
| Best win | Southwest Guilford, 39–7 | Nash Central, 28–27 |
| Best loss | Morehead, 27–21 | Hunt, 43–35 |
| Worst loss | Morehead, 27–21. Let a winnable game escape. | Northern Nash, 49–0. Shut out by a conference rival. |
| Key players | Zayden Craig (RB/LB) — 65.1 rushing ypg; Elijah Adams (QB) — 86.9 passing ypg. | DJ Baker (RB/LB) — 104.2 rushing ypg; Lovelle White Jr. (QB) — 29.2 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Rockingham is balanced, but Southern Nash’s run-heavy offense and competitive result against Hunt give the Firebirds a slight advantage.
Prediction: Southern Nash 28, Rockingham County 24
12. 1A: No. 10 Weldon STEM (0-9) AT No. 7 Rocky Mount Prep (4-6)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 10 Weldon STEM | No. 7 Rocky Mount Prep |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 75% / 25%* | 54% / 46% |
| Best win | No wins | Washington County, 28–14 |
| Best loss | Northwest Halifax, 18–12 | St. David’s, 14–6 |
| Worst loss | Washington County, 40–0. Shut out by a two-win team. | Washington County, 40–20. Lost a rematch after winning the first meeting. |
| Key players | Jamari Edwards (ATH) — 54 rushing ypg; Elijah Skipwith (WR/DE) — receiving total unavailable. | Christian Battle (RB/WR) — 71.4 rushing ypg; Ahmir Eason (QB) — eight reported passing TDs. |
Common opponents: Head-to-head: Rocky Mount Prep won 36–18 on Sept. 25. Both also played Washington County and Northwest Halifax.
Breakdown: Rocky Mount Prep has already won this matchup, and its more productive offense should be able to control the rematch. Weldon’s rush/pass split is based on limited reporting.
Prediction: Rocky Mount Prep 34, Weldon STEM 12
13. 2A: No. 21 ALA-Johnston (1-8) AT No. 12 Camden County (4-6)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 21 ALA-Johnston | No. 12 Camden County |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 70% / 30% | 76% / 24% |
| Best win | North Wake Saints, 39–28 | Pamlico County, 55–32 |
| Best loss | Bartlett Yancey, 8–6 | Currituck County, 27–22 |
| Worst loss | Nash Central, 49–0. Failed to score and allowed seven TDs. | Gates County, 18–7. Its offense managed one touchdown in the finale. |
| Key players | Cam Thaxton (RB) — 118.9 rushing ypg; Ronnie Cattelona (QB) — 76.9 passing ypg. | Jaylen Mitchell (RB/DB) — 77.6 rushing ypg; Gabriel Norman (QB/FS) — 62.6 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: ALA-Johnston has a strong individual runner in Thaxton, but Camden’s four wins and stronger results make the Bruins favorites if they avoid another slow offensive start.
Prediction: Camden County 31, ALA-Johnston 20
14. 2A: No. 18 Northampton C&T (2-8) AT No. 15 Hobbton (3-7)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 18 Northampton C&T | No. 15 Hobbton |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 91% / 9% | 86% / 14% |
| Best win | KIPP Pride, 30–12 | North Duplin, 30–25 |
| Best loss | Louisburg, 17–8 | East Bladen, 46–40 |
| Worst loss | Perquimans County, 23–0. Shut out by another lower-seeded side. | West Columbus, 44–28. Allowed 44 points in a winnable matchup. |
| Key players | Forgan Joyner (RB/MLB) — 44 rushing ypg; X’Zaviior Manley (QB) — four reported total TDs. | Javarus Johnson (FB/LB) — 195.7 rushing ypg; Braxton McLamb (QB) — 52.3 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Both teams run heavily, but Hobbton’s Johnson is the most productive player in this matchup. The Wildcats’ offensive edge should decide it.
Prediction: Hobbton 35, Northampton C&T 14
15. 3A: No. 24 Trinity (1-9) AT No. 9 Wallace-Rose Hill (5-4)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 24 Trinity | No. 9 Wallace-Rose Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 32% / 68% | 94% / 6% |
| Best win | Surry Central, 35–28 | Princeton, 42–7 |
| Best loss | South Davidson, 35–13 | East Duplin, 16–14 |
| Worst loss | Providence Grove, 52–0. Shut out and gave up 52. | Clinton, 7–6. Lost a defensive battle it could have won. |
| Key players | Nate Sams (QB/S) — 121.3 passing ypg; Zaire Gill (RB/DB) — 32.9 rushing ypg. | Adrian Glover (ATH/DB) — 143.2 rushing ypg; Tyreque Williams (LB/FB) — 9.4 tackles/game. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Wallace-Rose Hill is overwhelmingly run-first and has stood up to East Duplin and James Kenan. Trinity has struggled defensively and faces a major physical mismatch.
Prediction: Wallace-Rose Hill 42, Trinity 7
16. 3A: No. 20 Ayden-Grifton (2-8) AT No. 13 Louisburg (7-3)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 20 Ayden-Grifton | No. 13 Louisburg |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 62% / 38% | 62% / 38% |
| Best win | North Lenoir, 30–12 | Nash Central, 27–19 |
| Best loss | North Pitt, 14–13 | Wake Prep, 22–21 |
| Worst loss | Kinston, 27–21. Dropped a winnable conference game. | Wake Prep, 22–21. Lost a pivotal one-point decision. |
| Key players | Jace Martin (QB/LB) — 66 passing ypg; Loyality Fuller (skill position) — 24.3 rushing ypg. | Ramzi Chapman (RB/DB) — 49.2 rushing ypg; Jett Hamilton (QB/DB) — 64.3 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: Beddingfield: Ayden-Grifton won 28–7; Louisburg won 39–0.
Breakdown: Louisburg’s defense allows fewer than 14 points per game, and its seven-win record is the stronger résumé. Ayden-Grifton needs early explosive plays to stay close.
Prediction: Louisburg 31, Ayden-Grifton 10
17. 7A: No. 24 East Wake (3-7) AT No. 9 D.H. Conley (6-4)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 24 East Wake | No. 9 D.H. Conley |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 32% / 68% | 53% / 47% |
| Best win | Bunn, 36–13 | Northeastern, 29–22 |
| Best loss | Knightdale, 17–13 | New Bern, 40–35 |
| Worst loss | Heritage, 19–12. Failed to finish a winnable matchup. | J.H. Rose, 53–0. Shut out in the regular-season finale. |
| Key players | James McCullers Jr. (QB) — 104 passing ypg; Davon Perry (WR/DB) — 72.3 receiving ypg. | Michael King II (RB) — 83.7 rushing ypg; Jack Hager (QB) — 129.9 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Conley has lost three straight, but those came against powerful conference teams. The Vikings’ more balanced attack and stronger wins give them a clear edge.
Prediction: D.H. Conley 34, East Wake 14
18. 7A: No. 19 Sanderson (5-5) AT No. 14 South Central (4-6)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 19 Sanderson | No. 14 South Central |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 46% / 54% | 45% / 55% |
| Best win | Cary, 27–0 | Farmville Central, 64–34 |
| Best loss | Ashley, 16–12 | Laney, 45–42 |
| Worst loss | Broughton, 28–0. Shut out in a game against a comparable team. | D.H. Conley, 26–22. Let a four-point conference game slip away. |
| Key players | Keon Williams (RB/LB) — 86.3 rushing ypg; Gaines Stallworth (QB) — 155.4 passing ypg. | Jaylen Butts (QB) — 180.4 passing ypg; Ezra Meachem (WR/CB) — 79.6 receiving ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: These teams have similar offensive yardage and slightly prefer the pass. South Central’s demanding conference schedule and Butts’ production give the Falcons a slim advantage.
Prediction: South Central 35, Sanderson 31
19. 7A: No. 23 New Hanover (2-8) AT No. 10 Southeast Raleigh (7-3)
Thursday, Nov. 5
| Category | No. 23 New Hanover | No. 10 Southeast Raleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 50% / 50% | 65% / 35% |
| Best win | Purnell Swett, 26–6 | Dudley, 38–12 |
| Best loss | Topsail, 24–21 | Cardinal Gibbons, 23–21 |
| Worst loss | West Brunswick, 26–21. Lost a close game to a struggling team. | Cardinal Gibbons, 23–21. A narrow loss to a quality opponent, not a major underperformance. |
| Key players | Messiah Brockington (RB/CB) — 59.1 rushing ypg; Ronan Brady (QB/P) — 68.4 passing ypg. | Christian Freeman (RB) — about 139 rushing ypg; Jamel Perry (QB) — about 152 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Southeast Raleigh averages roughly 445 yards per game and is unbeaten at home. New Hanover has struggled to score consistently and faces a substantial offensive mismatch.
Prediction: Southeast Raleigh 45, New Hanover 7
Friday: 1A–4A
20. 1A: No. 9 Washington County (2-8) AT No. 8 Columbia (2-4)
| Category | No. 9 Washington County | No. 8 Columbia |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 52% / 48% | 47% / 53% |
| Best win | Rocky Mount Prep, 40–20 | Bear Grass Charter, 36–12 |
| Best loss | Southside, 16–12 | Hobgood Charter, 40–20 |
| Worst loss | Sallie B. Howard, 12–6. Managed just six points in a close defeat. | Hobgood Charter, 50–6. Gave up 50 in a blowout. |
| Key players | Kiymani Jones (ATH/QB) — 148.6 passing ypg in available reporting; Dre Kel Betts (WR/CB) — 67.8 receiving ypg. | Jai’Marques Whitley (QB/RB) — 114.8 passing ypg; Ron’Dayle Floyd Jr. (WR/DB) — 82 receiving ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Both teams have defensive concerns and modest records. Columbia has the more effective documented passing game and home-field advantage.
Prediction: Columbia 28, Washington County 20
21. 1A: No. 11 Jones Senior (0-10) AT No. 6 KIPP Pride (3-7)
| Category | No. 11 Jones Senior | No. 6 KIPP Pride |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 30% / 70% | 85% / 15% |
| Best win | No wins | Northwest Halifax, 21–16 |
| Best loss | TMSA, 22–8 | Pamlico County, 34–26 |
| Worst loss | Columbia, 52–0. Shut out by a two-win program. | Northampton C&T, 30–12. Lost by 18 to a two-win team. |
| Key players | Logan Murphy (QB/LB) — 70.4 passing ypg; Isaiah Meadows (CB/WR) — 6.4 tackles/game. | Josiah Esperance (RB/DE) — 82.8 rushing ypg; Derrian Shearin (QB/LB) — 14.9 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Jones Senior has been shut out in five of its 10 games. KIPP Pride has the stronger ground game, giving the Pride the advantage unless Jones can create takeaways.
Prediction: KIPP Pride 32, Jones Senior 6
22. 2A: No. 20 Lejeune (2-7) AT No. 13 Northwest Halifax C&T (5-5)
| Category | No. 20 Lejeune | No. 13 Northwest Halifax C&T |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 89% / 11% | 88% / 12% |
| Best win | Jones Senior, 40–0 | Washington County, 32–22 |
| Best loss | South Lenoir, 20–14 | Hobgood Charter, 14–6 |
| Worst loss | Southside, 25–0. Shut out in its regular-season finale. | KIPP Pride, 21–16. Lost to a three-win opponent. |
| Key players | Cameron McKinnis (RB/FS) — 47.6 rushing ypg; Grady Mahaffey (QB/LB) — 14.9 tackles/game. | Zamaree Davis (HB/FS) — 85.9 rushing ypg; Markese Harvey (QB/WR) — 37.3 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: Bear Grass Charter: Lejeune won 14–6; Northwest Halifax won 46–20.
Breakdown: Both teams rely on the ground game, but Northwest Halifax produces far more rushing yards and has a better result against Bear Grass Charter.
Prediction: Northwest Halifax 37, Lejeune 14
23. 2A: No. 19 Union (3-7) AT No. 14 East Carteret (4-6)
| Category | No. 19 Union | No. 14 East Carteret |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 81% / 19% | 79% / 21% |
| Best win | West Bladen, 42–13 | Jones Senior, 34–0 |
| Best loss | East Columbus, 14–6 | Arendell Parrott, 21–19 |
| Worst loss | Hobbton, 44–14. Lost by 30 to a three-win team. | Arendell Parrott, 21–19. Let a close game slip away. |
| Key players | Tobias Cromartie (RB/OLB) — 153 rushing ypg; Derik Aycock (QB/CB) — 50.3 passing ypg. | Mikah Ellison (RB) — 55.3 rushing ypg; Macon Nelson (QB) — 35.5 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: Lejeune: Union won 24–7; East Carteret won 22–7.
Breakdown: Union has the biggest individual rushing threat in Cromartie, but the shared Lejeune comparison is nearly even. East Carteret’s home field and better recent form give it a slight edge.
Prediction: East Carteret 28, Union 21
24. 2A: No. 22 Triangle Math & Science Academy (3-6) AT No. 11 Bertie (3-7)
| Category | No. 22 Triangle Math & Science Academy | No. 11 Bertie |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | Not reliably reported | Not reported |
| Best win | Jones Senior, 22–8 | Perquimans County, 36–6 |
| Best loss | GRACE Christian, 22–8 | Camden County, 12–8 |
| Worst loss | Wayne Christian, 50–6. Overmatched in a blowout. | Camden County, 12–8. Failed to finish a close conference game. |
| Key players | Avram Stuckey (QB/FS) — 94 passing ypg*; Brayden Dunn (WR/RB) — 93 receiving ypg*. | 2026 individual season leaders were not reliably available. |
Common opponents: Hobgood Charter: TMSA lost 28–0; Bertie won 14–0.
Breakdown: Bertie has the stronger shared-opponent result. TMSA’s available offensive and individual statistics are incomplete, so its averages should be treated cautiously.
Prediction: Bertie 28, TMSA 12
25. 3A: No. 21 McMichael (2-8) AT No. 12 South Columbus (6-4)
| Category | No. 21 McMichael | No. 12 South Columbus |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 25% / 75%* | 67% / 33% |
| Best win | Bartlett Yancey, 31–30 | West Brunswick, 22–21 (OT) |
| Best loss | Carver, 46–27 | Swansboro, 23–18 |
| Worst loss | South Stokes, 44–7. Struggled badly against a nonconference opponent. | South Brunswick, 20–18. Lost a winnable conference game. |
| Key players | Michael McCrickard (QB) — 129.8 passing ypg*; Kahleb Hill (WR) — 23 receiving ypg*. | Gentry Thompson (RB/LB) — 103.2 rushing ypg; Jaxon Greene (QB/P) — 108.9 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: McMichael has allowed more than 46 points per game. South Columbus’ stronger record, running game and defense make the Stallions overwhelming favorites.
Prediction: South Columbus 35, McMichael 7
26. 3A: No. 23 Heide Trask (2-8) AT No. 10 Farmville Central (6-4)
| Category | No. 23 Heide Trask | No. 10 Farmville Central |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 82% / 18% | 66% / 34% |
| Best win | South Lenoir, 32–26 | Greene Central, 60–55 |
| Best loss | East Columbus, 12–6 | D.H. Conley, 63–39 |
| Worst loss | East Columbus, 12–6. Only six points against a four-win program. | South Central, 64–34. Allowed 64 to a four-win team. |
| Key players | Kamajah Wilson (reported rushing leader) — 48.9 rushing ypg; Gabe Van Vliet (reported passing leader) — 33.1 passing ypg. | Carlnell Cotton (HB/OLB) — 129.6 rushing ypg; Connor Kessler (QB) — 135.1 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Farmville Central scores in bunches but has defensive vulnerabilities. Trask has struggled to score late in the season and may not be able to exploit them.
Prediction: Farmville Central 45, Heide Trask 10
27. 4A: No. 19 Southwest Onslow (4-6) AT No. 14 North Pitt (5-5)
| Category | No. 19 Southwest Onslow | No. 14 North Pitt |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 77% / 23% | 65% / 35% |
| Best win | Pender, 30–28 | Eastern Wayne, 28–7 |
| Best loss | Richlands, 15–14 | Southwest Edgecombe, 19–18 |
| Worst loss | White Oak, 30–15. Lost to a two-win opponent. | South Central, 34–6. Generated only six points against a four-win team. |
| Key players | Trenstin Bolden (RB/LB) — 132.1 rushing ypg; Davion Cephus (ATH/DB) — 64 passing ypg. | Xaden Maldonado (RB/LB) — 93.2 rushing ypg; Bryce Phillips (QB) — 122.1 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Southwest Onslow has the stronger ground production, but North Pitt’s passing balance and wins over Eastern Wayne and Washington provide momentum.
Prediction: North Pitt 28, Southwest Onslow 24
28. 4A: No. 22 Central Davidson (3-7) AT No. 11 Nash Central (4-6)
| Category | No. 22 Central Davidson | No. 11 Nash Central |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 89% / 11% | 79% / 21% |
| Best win | Randleman, 42–41 | Wake Prep, 14–2 |
| Best loss | Montgomery Central, 36–29 | Southern Nash, 28–27 |
| Worst loss | Lexington, 41–35. Lost to a two-win conference foe. | Southern Nash, 28–27. Came up one point short in a winnable game. |
| Key players | Zack Wyatt (ATH) — 95 rushing ypg; Liam Landon (QB) — 36.6 passing ypg. | Elijah Dunn (RB/CB) — 51.3 rushing ypg; Avery Flowers (LB) — 10.8 tackles/game. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Nash Central opened 0–6 but won four straight to close the season. Central Davidson can run the ball, yet Nash Central’s recent defensive improvement is decisive.
Prediction: Nash Central 27, Central Davidson 24
29. 4A: No. 23 Lexington (2-8) AT No. 10 Roanoke Rapids (5-5)
| Category | No. 23 Lexington | No. 10 Roanoke Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 56% / 44% | 65% / 35% |
| Best win | Central Davidson, 41–35 | Pasquotank County, 14–12 |
| Best loss | West Davidson, 19–14 | Louisburg, 15–12 |
| Worst loss | West Davidson, 19–14. Couldn’t finish a close early-season game. | Nash Central, 19–3. Held to a field goal by a four-win team. |
| Key players | Corey Sperling (QB/MLB) — 108.7 passing ypg; Jeremiah Quarles (RB/OLB) — 87.4 rushing ypg. | Malik Yellorday (RB) — 77 rushing ypg; Holden Ford (QB/DB) — 75.3 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Roanoke Rapids has won two straight and owns the better record. Lexington can run the ball, but its defense has been inconsistent throughout the season.
Prediction: Roanoke Rapids 30, Lexington 14
Friday: 5A–8A and NCISAA
30. 5A: No. 17 Currituck County (4-6) AT No. 16 West Carteret (4-6)
| Category | No. 17 Currituck County | No. 16 West Carteret |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 57% / 43% | 67% / 33% |
| Best win | Camden County, 27–22 | Northwood, 16–13 |
| Best loss | Martin County, 22–16 | Croatan, 20–0 |
| Worst loss | Pasquotank County, 20–10. Lost a winnable conference matchup. | Swansboro, 55–0. Shut out and allowed 55 points. |
| Key players | Kayden Smith (RB/MLB) — 110.5 rushing ypg; Shane Raferty (QB) — 90.4 passing ypg. | Ian Hawryschuk (RB/LB) — 81.1 rushing ypg; Fin Beyus (QB) — 60.9 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Both teams average fewer than 19 points per game. Currituck has a dangerous runner, but West Carteret’s challenging schedule and win over Northwood tilt the matchup toward the Patriots.
Prediction: West Carteret 24, Currituck County 20
31. 5A: No. 21 South Brunswick (5-5) AT No. 12 South Granville (6-4)
| Category | No. 21 South Brunswick | No. 12 South Granville |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 66% / 34% | 43% / 57% |
| Best win | South Columbus, 20–18 | Vance County, 50–48 (OT) |
| Best loss | Purnell Swett, 32–27 | Orange, 15–14 |
| Worst loss | Fairmont, 46–13. Allowed 46 in a decisive conference loss. | Seaforth, 20–10. Scored only 10 in a winnable game. |
| Key players | Amerius Revels (RB) — 149.7 rushing ypg; Kaelum Grainger (QB) — 75.1 passing ypg. | Elijah Litz (QB) — 159 passing ypg; Traevon Hayes (WR/DB) — 69.4 receiving ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: South Brunswick is a rush-first team led by Revels, while South Granville is pass-oriented. South Granville’s home advantage and balance of big-play options make it a narrow pick.
Prediction: South Granville 27, South Brunswick 24
32. 5A: No. 20 Southern Wayne (4-6) AT No. 13 Western Alamance (5-5)
| Category | No. 20 Southern Wayne | No. 13 Western Alamance |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 78% / 22% | 49% / 51% |
| Best win | C.B. Aycock, 34–14 | Northwest Guilford, 33–32 |
| Best loss | Southern Nash, 21–14 | Williams, 13–6 |
| Worst loss | Rocky Mount, 42–0. Shut out by a conference opponent. | D.H. Conley, 42–21. Surrendered six touchdowns. |
| Key players | Jymerion Lee (RB/DB) — 73.8 rushing ypg; Mark Correll (QB/FS) — 55.8 passing ypg. | Christian Payton (RB) — 100.1 rushing ypg; Grayson Smith (QB) — 152.6 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Southern Wayne snapped a six-game slide against Aycock, but Western Alamance has the more balanced offense and far stronger passing production.
Prediction: Western Alamance 31, Southern Wayne 14
33. 5A: No. 22 Person (2-8) AT No. 11 St. Pauls (7-3)
| Category | No. 22 Person | No. 11 St. Pauls |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 36% / 64% | 68% / 32% |
| Best win | Cummings, 32–0 | South View, 34–24 |
| Best loss | Riverside, 27–26 | E.E. Smith, 27–26 |
| Worst loss | Franklinton, 34–14. Lost by 20 in an early-season setback. | Westover, 16–14. Lost a winnable game after leading at halftime. |
| Key players | Willie Lunsford (QB) — 177.6 passing ypg; Tae Winstead (WR/CB) — 81.5 receiving ypg. | Jayden Graham (RB) — 127.9 rushing ypg; Andrew Lowry (QB) — 93.4 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Person can throw the ball effectively, but St. Pauls’ stronger defense and powerful running game should control the pace.
Prediction: St. Pauls 35, Person 17
34. 5A: No. 23 Richlands (2-8) AT No. 10 Orange (6-4)
| Category | No. 23 Richlands | No. 10 Orange |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 83% / 17% | 91% / 9% |
| Best win | Dixon, 34–28 | South Granville, 15–14 |
| Best loss | West Carteret, 14–13 | Hillside, 28–22 |
| Worst loss | White Oak, 16–6. Scored six points against a two-win team. | Eastern Guilford, 34–22. A competitive loss after allowing 34. |
| Key players | Baylee Rathe (RB/DB) — 39.3 rushing ypg; Camden Good (RB/LB) — 10.3 tackles/game. | Markus Thomas (RB) — 1,823 rushing yards, 17 rushing TDs; Kayden Bradsher (RB/DB) — 624 rushing yards, seven TDs. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Orange runs nearly every down and has a major production advantage behind Thomas. Richlands has struggled to score against strong defenses.
Prediction: Orange 42, Richlands 7
35. 6A: No. 17 Felton Grove (4-6) AT No. 16 South Johnston (4-6)
| Category | No. 17 Felton Grove | No. 16 South Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 56% / 44% | 65% / 35% |
| Best win | Randleman, 28–25 | Lee County, 55–33 |
| Best loss | Green Hope, 31–20 | Harnett Central, 18–13 |
| Worst loss | Cary, 37–24. Allowed 37 in a winnable game. | West Johnston, 34–8. Trailed 27–0 by halftime in the finale. |
| Key players | Chase Watts (QB) — 131.6 passing and 95.2 rushing ypg; Samuel Lewis (WR) — 74.1 receiving ypg. | Caden Stack (RB) — 84.9 rushing ypg; Cam Jones (QB/DB) — 71.4 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Watts is a dual-threat problem for South Johnston, but the Trojans’ strong win over Lee County and home field create a small advantage.
Prediction: South Johnston 28, Felton Grove 24
36. 6A: No. 20 White Oak (2-7) AT No. 13 Swansboro (7-3)
| Category | No. 20 White Oak | No. 13 Swansboro |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 85% / 15% | 65% / 35% |
| Best win | Southwest Onslow, 30–15 | South Columbus, 23–18 |
| Best loss | Swansboro, 20–12 | Northside-Jacksonville, 29–0 |
| Worst loss | Kinston, 45–6. Managed just one touchdown. | Havelock, 53–19. Allowed its season-high point total. |
| Key players | Tony Hendricks (rushing leader) — 98.1 rushing ypg; Jasheem Reeves (passing leader) — 27.8 passing ypg. | Carmello Beasley (WR/ATH) — 51 rushing and 31.8 receiving ypg; Austin Zoeckler (QB) — 64.6 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: Head-to-head: Swansboro won 20–12 on Sept. 4. Richlands: White Oak won 16–6, Swansboro won 21–0.
Breakdown: White Oak kept the first meeting close, but it enters on a long losing streak. Swansboro has the stronger defense, more balanced offense and home field.
Prediction: Swansboro 35, White Oak 10
37. 7A: No. 17 Topsail (4-6) AT No. 16 Fuquay-Varina (4-6)
| Category | No. 17 Topsail | No. 16 Fuquay-Varina |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 51% / 49% | 73% / 27% |
| Best win | Ashley, 27–12 | Willow Spring, 56–37 |
| Best loss | North Brunswick, 14–10 | Southeast Raleigh, 33–31 |
| Worst loss | Laney, 34–6. Its offense was held to six. | Middle Creek, 42–18. Allowed 42 in its opening game. |
| Key players | Kyle Albert (RB/DB) — 107 rushing ypg; Tyler Vickers (QB) — 139.2 passing ypg. | Matthew Ziglar (RB/FB) — 112.4 rushing ypg; Clayton Baker (QB) — 88.2 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: Topsail has won two straight, but Fuquay-Varina’s run game and narrow loss to Southeast Raleigh suggest a tight contest.
Prediction: Fuquay-Varina 28, Topsail 24
38. 7A: No. 21 Pine Forest (3-7) AT No. 12 Ashley (6-4)
| Category | No. 21 Pine Forest | No. 12 Ashley |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 18% / 82%* | 48% / 52% |
| Best win | Terry Sanford, 40–21 | Laney, 20–17 |
| Best loss | Overhills, 27–14 | Hoggard, 30–13 |
| Worst loss | Hoke County, 20–9. Managed only nine points in a winnable game. | Topsail, 27–12. Lost by 15 to a four-win team. |
| Key players | Roman Mason (QB) — 145.1 passing ypg; Calvin Townsend (WR) — 67.3 receiving ypg. | Raleigh Sutton (QB) — 107.9 passing ypg; Josiah Isom (ATH) — 44.3 receiving ypg. |
Common opponents: E.E. Smith: Pine Forest won 9–8; Ashley won 17–12.
Breakdown: Ashley has the more balanced offense and stronger recent results, including a win over Laney. Pine Forest’s reported rushing totals are incomplete, so its pass-heavy percentage may be inflated.
Prediction: Ashley 34, Pine Forest 14
39. 7A: No. 18 North Brunswick (5-5) AT No. 15 Heritage (5-5)
| Category | No. 18 North Brunswick | No. 15 Heritage |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 54% / 46% | 51% / 49% |
| Best win | West Carteret, 27–7 | Franklinton, 35–32 |
| Best loss | Laney, 14–13 | Williams, 28–25 |
| Worst loss | New Hanover, 21–14. Lost to a two-win opponent. | Holly Springs, 29–25. Let a close home game slip away. |
| Key players | Eli Talley (QB/WR) — 105.1 passing ypg; Xavier Lendon (RB/OLB) — 39.9 rushing ypg. | Xavier Williams (QB) — 82 passing and 54.8 rushing ypg; Jaylen Stokes (WR) — 44.1 receiving ypg. |
Common opponents: No common opponents identified.
Breakdown: North Brunswick has dropped three straight. Heritage won four in a row before facing Wake Forest, and its recent form gives the Huskies the edge.
Prediction: Heritage 27, North Brunswick 21
40. 8A: No. 9 Laney (5-5) AT No. 8 Panther Creek (6-4)
| Category | No. 9 Laney | No. 8 Panther Creek |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 40% / 60% | 36% / 64% |
| Best win | South Central, 45–42 | Green Hope, 15–14 (OT) |
| Best loss | Ashley, 20–17 | Hillside, 22–12 |
| Worst loss | Garner, 30–12. Scored 12 in its season opener. | Jordan, 32–21. Lost a competitive conference game. |
| Key players | Joseph Stough (QB) — 144.6 passing ypg; Niko Warren (WR) — 57.9 receiving ypg. | Ethan Carpenter (QB) — 154.4 passing ypg; Moktar Lemine (WR/DE) — 67 receiving ypg. |
Common opponents: Hoggard: Laney lost 36–0; Panther Creek lost 40–7.
Breakdown: Both teams lean on the pass, and their Hoggard results were similar. Laney’s win over South Central and tough coastal schedule justify the road-upset pick despite Panther Creek’s strong home results.
Prediction: Laney 27, Panther Creek 24
41. NCISAA 8-man: No. 5 St. David’s (5-4) AT No. 4 Lawrence Academy (6-3)
| Category | No. 5 St. David’s | No. 4 Lawrence Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Rush / pass | 49% / 51% | 66% / 34% |
| Best win | Arendell Parrott, 67–22 | Arendell Parrott, 60–43 |
| Best loss | Faith Christian, 46–22 | Pungo Christian, 38–32 |
| Worst loss | Cary Christian, 36–8. Struggled to generate offense. | Faith Christian, 55–14. Overmatched in its most lopsided defeat. |
| Key players | Grant Simpson (RB/LB) — 123.1 rushing ypg, 10.7 tackles/game; Alejandro Dona (QB) — 155.3 passing ypg. | Ayden Foster (RB/OLB) — 147.6 rushing ypg; Simon Lundy (QB) — 137.4 passing ypg. |
Common opponents: Head-to-head: Lawrence won 58–33 on Aug. 14. Wake Christian: St. David’s won 54–34 and 44–32; Lawrence won 56–52. Arendell Parrott: St. David’s won 67–22, Lawrence won 60–43. Both lost to John Paul II and Faith Christian.
Breakdown: St. David’s has improved since the first meeting, but Lawrence’s run game and prior 58–33 win make the hosts slight favorites in a potential shootout.
Prediction: Lawrence Academy 38, St. David’s 34
All 41 scores are Trey Scott’s projections for the 2026 first round. Matchup dates and kickoff details may be adjusted because of weather. Statistics and results reflect publicly reported pregame information.